Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Austria Wien vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
VOR
1 - 1
AUS
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
AUS
1 - 0
VOR
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
AUS
3 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUS
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
LIN
2 - 2
AUS
23%
27%
51%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCK
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
KOR
0 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUS
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
NKP
2 - 2
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |