Champions League Last 16
Global 4-1
Austria Wien vs Lillestrom SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1978 |
AUS
4 - 1
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
VIE
1 - 3
AUS
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
AUS
4 - 1
RBS
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
AUS
4 - 1
VLZ
80%
11%
9%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
SSW
4 - 0
AUS
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LSK
1 - 3
VIF
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
MFK
0 - 3
LSK
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
LSK
3 - 1
STE
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
LSK
1 - 0
LIN
83%
11%
7%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
MOS
0 - 0
LSK
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |