Qualif. Champions Final
Global 4-3
Austria Wien vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
AUS
2 - 0
VIE
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1970 |
SWW
1 - 1
AUS
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1970 |
AUS
1 - 2
RBS
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1970 |
LSO
3 - 1
AUS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1970 |
AWM
1 - 0
AUS
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
CVA
2 - 1
LSO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1970 |
LSO
3 - 1
AUS
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1970 |
LSO
0 - 1
SSO
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1970 |
BVR
0 - 1
LSO
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1970 |
LSO
4 - 0
CHB
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |