Champions League 1/16
Global 2-3
Austria Wien vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
AUS
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
AUS
3 - 1
DOR
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
GÓR
1 - 0
AUS
50%
22%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
WIE
1 - 0
AUS
27%
23%
51%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
AUS
4 - 1
LAS
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
GÓR
1 - 0
AUS
50%
22%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
TOT
8 - 1
GÓR
83%
10%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
GÓR
4 - 2
TOT
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |