Austria Wien vs Kapfenberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RAP
0 - 0
AUS
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AUS
2 - 0
RIE
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RBS
3 - 0
AUS
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 0
MFF
41%
24%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
STR
5 - 1
AUS
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KAP
0 - 1
WIN
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 0
KAP
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KAP
0 - 0
RAP
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RBS
6 - 0
KAP
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KAP
1 - 3
RIE
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |