Austria Wien vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
8º
7º
4
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 36 |
1º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 35 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 34 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 33 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 32 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
58.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 1
AUS
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
SKN
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
AUS
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OED
2 - 3
AUS
6%
13%
81%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 1
LAS
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAS
4 - 2
GRA
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALT
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
SVS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
GRA
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
REI
0 - 9
GRA
8%
14%
79%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |