Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Austria Wien vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
0 - 0
AUS
31%
23%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
AUS
0 - 0
WIE
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1977 |
STR
3 - 1
AUS
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
AUS
1 - 1
LIN
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1977 |
WAC
1 - 1
AUS
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 1
FUL
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
0 - 0
AUS
31%
23%
47%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
NOT
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
0 - 0
TOT
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |