Champions League Last 16
Global 2-6
Austria Wien vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
VIE
1 - 1
AUS
52%
21%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
AUS
3 - 0
WIE
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
SIM
2 - 2
AUS
44%
21%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
AUS
2 - 0
WIE
80%
12%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
AUS
2 - 0
STB
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPC
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 1
SLB
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 1
SAL
85%
9%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1961 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |