Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
Austria Wien vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
AUS
1 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
SWA
4 - 2
AUS
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
AUS
6 - 0
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1989 |
VSE
2 - 1
AUS
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1989 |
AUS
1 - 4
RAP
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 0
MVV
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 2
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 2
VIT
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |