Austria Wien II vs FCM Traiskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
11º
4º
19
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
ASV
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 2
AUS
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
ELE
1 - 1
AUS
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
AUS
5 - 1
SPO
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 0
LEO
46%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FCM Traiskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 0
FCM
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
5 - 1
FCM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 3
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
FCM
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DON
1 - 1
FCM
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |