Austria Wien II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
AUS
3 - 1
SCF
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
SVH
2 - 2
AUS
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 0
SOL
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
NEU
2 - 0
AUS
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
0 - 1
AUS
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 3
OST
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 3
MAT
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SVH
0 - 0
BAU
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RIT
2 - 1
BAU
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
FAC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -3 |