Austria U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
SCO
2 - 2
AUT
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 1
NED
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
AUT
3 - 2
GRC
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LUX
1 - 4
AUT
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
IRL
2 - 1
AUT
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BGR
3 - 2
LUX
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
0 - 0
BGR
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 1
NED
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 0
MKD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |