Austria U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 2
AUT
51%
23%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 2
SCO
63%
19%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GER
1 - 5
AUT
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 0
KAZ
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 0
LVA
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
SCO
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
CRO
40%
23%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
6 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |