Austria U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
AUT
9 - 0
AND
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 2
GEO
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BIH
0 - 2
AUT
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
AUT
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 0
AUT
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
HUN
1 - 1
BGR
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BGR
1 - 2
BIH
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
0 - 1
BGR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
IRL
4 - 1
BGR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |