Austria U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 0
CYP
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 2
CRO
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
AUT
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
GER
2 - 1
AUT
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
CYP
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 4
DEN
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SVN
2 - 3
ITA
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
CYP
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |