Austria Lustenau II vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
14º
12º
44
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 6
AUS
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 2
FCH
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HIT
5 - 2
AUS
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 1
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCH
4 - 2
AUS
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
FCH
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
HAR
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HAR
6 - 1
BEZ
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 1
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
LUD
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |