Austria Lustenau II vs Admira Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
14º
12º
44
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
NEN
0 - 1
AUS
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RTB
0 - 4
AUS
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 0
FCH
38%
22%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
EGG
4 - 0
AUS
79%
12%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
LAU
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Admira Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 0
FCH
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EGG
3 - 5
ADM
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 4
LAU
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SCG
3 - 1
ADM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 2
LOC
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |