Austria Karnten vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Karnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AUK
1 - 1
AUS
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
RIE
2 - 0
AUK
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AUK
2 - 0
RBS
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
AUK
0 - 0
MAT
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
KAP
2 - 1
AUK
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
RIE
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
AUS
2 - 0
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
AUS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STR
1 - 3
KAP
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |