Austria Karnten vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Karnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
RIE
0 - 0
AUK
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
LAS
3 - 2
AUK
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUK
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 1
AUK
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
STR
3 - 1
AUK
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
AUS
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 0
STR
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BUD
1 - 2
STR
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
STR
3 - 0
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
BUD
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |