Australia U23 vs Italy U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
ESP
3 - 2
AUS
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1996 |
AUS
2 - 1
KSA
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
AUS
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 1992 |
AUS
0 - 1
GHA
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1992 |
POL
6 - 1
AUS
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Italy U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1996 |
ITA
2 - 1
KOR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1996 |
GHA
3 - 2
ITA
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1996 |
MEX
1 - 0
ITA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1992 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1992 |
ITA
1 - 0
KWT
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |