Australia U23 vs Honduras U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 3
NGA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
ESP
3 - 2
AUS
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1996 |
AUS
2 - 1
KSA
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
AUS
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 1
HND
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
NGA
3 - 3
HND
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |