Australia U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
AUS
0 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
0 - 0
AUS
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SCO
1 - 2
AUS
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1983 |
MEX
1 - 1
AUS
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
NGA
2 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
NED
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 0
NGA
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SUN
0 - 1
NGA
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |