Australia U20 vs Spain U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
71%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 3
CRC
20%
23%
58%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 1
ECU
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
AUS
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
AUS
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 3
BRA
7%
16%
78%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CRC
1 - 4
ESP
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
ESP
13%
19%
69%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
ESP
19%
23%
59%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |