Australia U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
AUS
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
AUS
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 3
BRA
7%
16%
78%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 3
CRC
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CZE
2 - 1
AUS
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
4 - 0
PAN
55%
22%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
ECU
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |