Australia U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 1
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | +4 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 2
MEX
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 2
GHA
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAN
6 - 1
AUS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
CHI
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |