CONCACAF Champions Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Austin FC vs Violette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RSL
1 - 2
AUS
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VIO
3 - 0
AUS
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 0
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 3
STC
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 12 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 2
IMI
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Violette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VIO
3 - 0
AUS
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
VIO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 3
VIO
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIO
3 - 2
CAV
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 0
VIO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |