Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo analysis

Austin FC Houston Dynamo
82 ELO 84
9.9% Tilt -4.5%
406º General ELO ranking 195º
23º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
45.8%
Austin FC
24%
Draw
30.1%
Houston Dynamo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
Austin FC
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.1%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Austin FC
-3%
+6%
Houston Dynamo

Points and table prediction

Austin FC
Their league position
Houston Dynamo
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
26º
23º
48
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter Miami
64
71
96%
Columbus Crew
56
63
49.5%
Cincinnati
56
63
29.5%
LA Galaxy
58
62
24%
Real Salt Lake
51
58
27.5%
Colorado Rapids
50
57
22.5%
Los Angeles FC
49
56
20%
Houston Dynamo
48
55
20.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps
10º
46
53
18.5%
Portland Timbers
11º
44
51
10º
13.5%
Seattle Sounders
47
51
11º
16%
Minnesota United
14º
42
49
12º
15%
New York RB
12º
44
48
13º
12%
Orlando City
13º
43
47
14º
15%
Charlotte FC
15º
41
45
15º
15%
New York City
16º
41
45
16º
19.5%
FC Dallas
17º
37
44
17º
22%
CF Montréal
20º
34
41
18º
15%
Philadelphia Union
21º
33
40
19º
12.5%
DC United
23º
33
40
20º
11.5%
Toronto FC
18º
36
40
21º
22%
Atlanta United
22º
33
39
22º
13%
Austin FC
19º
35
39
23º
11.5%
Nashville SC
24º
33
37
24º
13.5%
Sporting Kansas City
25º
31
35
25º
20%
New England Revolution
28º
28
35
26º
17%
St. Louis City
26º
31
34
27º
25%
Chicago Fire
27º
29
33
28º
30.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
29º
18
22
29º
99.5%
Expected probabilities
Austin FC
Houston Dynamo
Final Series
0% 26%
Play-offs
0% 40.5%
Mid-table
100% 33.5%

ELO progression

Austin FC
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
New England Revolution
Seattle Sounders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Austin FC
Austin FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2024
LAN
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
Austin FC
AUS
56%
23%
22%
82 83 1 0
15 Sep. 2024
TOR
Toronto FC
2 - 1
Austin FC
AUS
43%
25%
32%
82 78 4 0
01 Sep. 2024
AUS
Austin FC
0 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
45%
24%
31%
82 83 1 0
25 Aug. 2024
NSC
Nashville SC
0 - 2
Austin FC
AUS
48%
25%
27%
81 83 2 +1
08 Aug. 2024
LAN
Los Angeles FC
2 - 0
Austin FC
AUS
58%
22%
21%
82 84 2 -1

Matches

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2024
HOD
Houston Dynamo
1 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
40%
26%
34%
83 83 0 0
15 Sep. 2024
HOD
Houston Dynamo
4 - 1
Real Salt Lake
RSL
39%
26%
36%
83 83 0 0
08 Sep. 2024
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 0
Los Angeles FC
LAN
42%
26%
32%
83 83 0 0
01 Sep. 2024
LAN
Los Angeles FC
0 - 2
Houston Dynamo
HOD
50%
23%
26%
83 83 0 0
25 Aug. 2024
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
54%
24%
22%
83 77 6 0
X