Austin FC II vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
COR
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
AFC
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
LAF
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
SPK
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
STL
2 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
LAG
50%
21%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
HOU
32%
23%
46%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
POR
4 - 1
TAC
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |