Austin FC II vs Minnesota United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 3
COR
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SPK
0 - 2
AFC
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
AFC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
AFC
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 1
MIN
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 1
MIN
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
STL
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
SAN
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
5 - 1
MIN
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |