Austin Bold vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
AUB
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AUB
5 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
RGV
0 - 1
AUB
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 1
TAC
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
HOD
3 - 2
AUB
90%
7%
2%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
ORA
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ORA
1 - 2
LAG
67%
18%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
ORA
0 - 1
TIJ
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ORA
0 - 2
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
3 - 0
ORA
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |