Austevoll vs Nest-Sotra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austevoll
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STO
6 - 1
AIK
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
AIK
0 - 1
HAU
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 3
AIK
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
2 - 2
AIK
68%
18%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AIK
3 - 3
VAR
25%
23%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Nest-Sotra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JER
1 - 2
NES
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NES
2 - 3
EGE
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
NES
43%
23%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
NES
36%
23%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
VIN
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |