Aurrera KE vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
4 - 1
AUR
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 4
GER
12%
20%
68%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SES
4 - 0
AUR
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
DEU
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 0
AUR
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
4 - 0
IKE
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 2
TOL
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFC
26%
26%
47%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 3
TOL
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
GER
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |