Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-1
Aurrera KE vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
BKE
0 - 0
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDM
63%
23%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
SDE
1 - 0
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZOR
64%
23%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SDE
2 - 1
SSC
36%
33%
31%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
BAR
0 - 0
SDE
82%
14%
4%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
SDE
1 - 0
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AFT
1 - 0
SDE
49%
27%
25%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
SDE
3 - 2
BKE
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |