Aurrera KE vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
10º
30
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AFT
4 - 4
AUR
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
URD
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
3 - 1
AUR
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 3
BAR
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AFT
3 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
URD
1 - 0
LON
28%
27%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEU
1 - 1
LON
41%
27%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
2 - 1
LON
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |