Aurrera KE vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 0
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AUR
4 - 1
SFC
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DEU
0 - 0
AUR
56%
24%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
LON
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALA
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
BEA
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 3
ALA
17%
24%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 0
DEU
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
LON
1 - 0
ALA
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |