Aurrera KE vs CD Padura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
10º
31
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
AFT
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
URD
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
LEI
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Padura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 1
AFT
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 1
CDP
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 2
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 1
CDP
43%
26%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 0
SAN
23%
25%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |