Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Aurrera KE vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SOD
2 - 1
AUR
32%
30%
39%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
LCD
2 - 2
AUR
40%
29%
31%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
AUR
1 - 1
ZAL
64%
23%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
PAS
0 - 0
AUR
30%
32%
38%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
AUR
3 - 2
CDT
56%
27%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
IZA
1 - 2
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
MOL
2 - 0
BAS
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
BAS
2 - 1
RSO
30%
31%
40%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
TER
0 - 0
BAS
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
BAS
2 - 1
SNT
37%
28%
35%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |