Aurrera KE vs Balmaseda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
AFT
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
IKE
1 - 3
AUR
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
BAS
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
SDS
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SDI
0 - 0
AUR
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 2
TRO
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
6 - 0
IKE
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 0
BAR
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 0
RUN
12%
23%
65%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +4 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
URD
0 - 1
BFC
35%
28%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |