Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-3
Aurrera KE vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
70.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
1 - 1
AUR
50%
27%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
SDA
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
16%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 4
AFT
61%
24%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CDG
1 - 3
AUR
48%
27%
25%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 1
BAS
49%
27%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VCF
4 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
HER
3 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ATH
2 - 0
SSC
92%
6%
3%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |