Aurrera KE vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 1
IKE
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
AUR
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 1
SFC
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 3
RSO
13%
19%
69%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
ARI
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
SNT
35%
27%
38%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CDV
3 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LON
3 - 0
ARI
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 3
URD
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |