Aurrera De Leitza vs Doneztebe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera De Leitza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CDI
5 - 0
AUR
65%
19%
16%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 3
CDL
53%
22%
25%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CFB
3 - 1
AUR
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
BUR
14%
18%
68%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AIB
2 - 3
AUR
58%
20%
23%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Doneztebe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DNT
0 - 1
SDA
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDI
0 - 3
DNT
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DNT
9 - 0
MEN
38%
24%
39%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DNT
1 - 0
CDU
26%
22%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDI
1 - 1
DNT
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |