Aurrera De Leitza vs CD Ilumberri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera De Leitza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 0
AUR
54%
22%
24%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
CFB
13%
17%
70%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
AUR
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 2
AIB
19%
20%
60%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
5 - 0
AUR
78%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDI
2 - 0
SDA
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDI
0 - 5
CDI
15%
20%
66%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDI
1 - 0
MEN
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DNT
1 - 0
CDI
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDU
1 - 3
CDI
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |