Aurora FC vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUR
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAC
38%
29%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAY
2 - 0
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 0
AUR
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
5 - 2
QUI
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
0 - 1
UNI
18%
24%
59%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
ZAC
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 0
SAY
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
ZAC
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |