Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
AUR
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SPD
3 - 0
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
ESC
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COA
1 - 1
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
IZT
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 3
SPD
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
COA
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 1
NUE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
PUE
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |