Aurora Seriate vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Seriate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
AUR
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
SON
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
INV
1 - 0
AUR
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
ACC
62%
23%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 2
VIR
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
SON
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |