Aurora Seriate vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Seriate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
INV
1 - 0
AUR
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
FOL
51%
26%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 1
AUR
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
CIS
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PER
4 - 1
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SON
2 - 1
ACC
42%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
SON
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SON
2 - 2
LEC
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
SON
66%
19%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SON
2 - 0
ACM
49%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |