Aurora Seriate vs Pro Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Seriate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
GAL
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAP
0 - 0
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
ACC
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
AUR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 1
ALZ
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
PIA
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACC
0 - 0
PIA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
GAL
73%
18%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GOZ
0 - 0
PIA
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |