Aurora Alto Casertano vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
78.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SFF
2 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AAC
1 - 1
CAS
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
REC
6 - 0
AAC
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 0
AAC
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 0
UST
7%
15%
79%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 3
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRA
25%
27%
48%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
PIN
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UST
1 - 0
TRA
25%
25%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
4 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |