Aurora Alto Casertano vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 1
CAS
8%
17%
75%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 2
FAN
10%
19%
71%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
AAC
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
UST
17%
20%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 0
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |