Aurillac Arpajon vs Victoria Setebul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
MON
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 0
AUR
45%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
TOU
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Victoria Setebul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
TOU
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 3
VIC
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
VIC
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUC
4 - 1
VIC
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |